Monday, June 15, 2009

Email from Fidelity... Wall Street thinks it is the answer

in an email I got today...

You can be diversified in one place.
Dear Keith Lambert,
Diversification doesn't mean keeping your money with multiple investment firms. It may be more costly and difficult to manage your portfolio that way. A diversified portfolio is composed of investments spread among different asset classes, aligned with your objectives and risk tolerance. And when you consolidate your ...

Blah Blah Blah

To start diversifying today, call 800-XXX-XXXX or visit
Thank you for your continued trust.
Cxxxxx Mxxxxxxxx
Executive Vice President
Personal and Workplace Investing Services
Fidelity Investments
Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC

The Gall of the stock trading industry and the suckers who believe them to be telling you the whole truth in their marketing materials. One must have an outside person like a real smart CFP. (e. g. Or be smart on your own. "Diversify" does not mean having different types of risky investments with one stock brokerage house!

Use someone who gets the bigger picture to help you Diversify. You do have assets. You need to think about all the different assets. From the coin in your pocket to the back of the storage closet with that antique nick knack. Then review your financial position and goals.

Think of long term financial things in this light...

- Some in cash. (Not all in the same bank.)
- Some in a growth fund. (see above)
- Your Single Family Home. (gotta have a First Trust Deed)
- Some in income producing Real Estate. (Call me please - It's what I do)
- Some in an Insurance Policy with an annuity. (leverage tool for retirement)

And if you own your own business you need to back that up with Key Man Insurance.

So of the above items... do you have all 5?

Where do you Diversify too?

Keith Lambert

Monday, June 01, 2009

Bonds and Loan Rates... polishing the crystal ball

"I'M FREE...FREE FALLIN'" Tom Petty.
And a free fall indeed was the case last Wednesday, as Bonds had their worst one-day performance since last October, losing an astounding 206bp. So what caused this free fall...and what helped Bonds and home loan rates rally back and improve later in the week? Here's what you need to know.

The main culprit for Wednesday's sell off was supply. The Treasury auctions and the increased number of refinance transactions closing have added hundreds of Billions of dollars of new Bond supply to the market. Economics 101 tells us that anytime supply vastly exceeds demand, prices will move lower, and that's exactly what we saw last week...and as Bond prices move lower, home loan rates move higher. And the trend isn't likely to end anytime soon, as the Treasury will have to continue to pump out major supply of Bonds, in order to pay for the massive government stimulus plans...and the Fed buying plan simply won't be enough to balance out supply and demand - it's like trying to sop up a flood with a sponge. Bottom line - rates are likely to rise, but are still near historic lows.

Yet the news wasn't all doom and gloom - as both the Dow and S&P 500 have seen three months of positive gains for the first time in over a year! And the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) said that the end of the recession is in sight, noting that, "While the overall tone remains soft, there are emerging signs that the economy is stabilizing." The Commerce Department's report that Gross Domestic Product for the first quarter fell at an annual rate of 5.7% was better than initial estimates, indicating the recession may be slowing down. Important reminder: An improvement in the economy will likely push rates higher over time, which is why it's important to take action during this opportunity of low rates.

In other news, Initial Jobless Claims were better than expectations, but a higher revision to the prior week's reading offset the slightly positive headline number. Durable Goods Orders in April also came in a bit better than expectations. On the housing front, while New Home Sales were just under estimates, Existing Home Sales came in higher than expectations. These reports didn't impact the markets a great deal last week, as the impact from all the extra supply was the real mover and shaker.

Bonds were able to regain some ground Thursday and Friday after their steep free fall on Wednesday, but even with the improvement, home loan rates ended the week .25% to .375% worse than where they began.

So when are we at the best time to buy again. Just before the loan rates get stiff? Not after they go up significantly! Where is that point for you?

Many buildings need Buyers. Some are becoming great deals. Are you a Buyer yet?

Keith L.