- Napoleon Bonaparte.
Taking action after deliberating was exactly what the Fed did last week, when they cut the Fed Funds Rate by .50%, lowering it to 1.00%.
Why did the Fed take action last week, after it had already lowered the Fed Funds Rate by .50% on October 8 in a coordinated effort with other central banks? To continue to help ease the credit crisis, and prevent a long and severe global recession. In fact, several foreign central banks followed the Fed's lead again last week, with Hong Kong cutting their lending rate by .50%, Taiwan cutting by .25%, and Japan cutting by .20%. This is important because cuts by other nations help stabilize the US Dollar, which typically loses ground after our Fed cuts rates, because of the lower yield offered comparatively offered in the US. Another interesting point to note: since oil is Dollar denominated, the price per barrel typically jumps after our Fed cuts rates, because of the decline in the value of the Dollar. The cuts by other central banks should keep oil…and gas prices, in turn…from skyrocketing again.
Another reason the Fed took action: The Fed’s statement discounted threats of inflation, saying that slowing economic growth should lower inflation pressures over time, but added that downside risks to economic growth remain. And last week’s negative Gross Domestic Product reading is confirmation that things have slowed quite a bit. Although experts have speculated that the US may already be in a recession, the first hardcore signs appeared when the Third Quarter Advance GDP report showed that consumer spending declined at the fastest pace in 28 years. The report also reflected the largest quarterly decline since the end of the last recession in 2001.
So what did all of this mean for Bonds and home loan rates last week? After worsening early in the week, Bonds and home loan rates attempted to stabilize by week end. And while it was a treat that Bonds did bounce off an important level of technical support, home loan rates still ended the week nearly .125-.25% worse than where they began.
Very few income properties are on the REO (Real Estate Owned by a bank) lists. Unless you go to areas like Henderson NV or Plamdale or Chula Vista where the rental of units has a very low revenue base. If the rents drop so that you can not make the mortgage... and/or the buyer is unsophisticated (or corrupt)giving a investment property back to the bank is very rare.
Amateur speculation in the single family home rental market is another matter.
Time will tell. Sound Investing in positive cash flowing income properties is what I recommend. Loan rates are good now. But for how much longer?
So to whoever wins the White House tomorrow, may God bless his political advisers with some great insight and clear vision.
Because of the down economy I am making a strong recommendation that you vote NO on any bond item on the ballot tomorrow. We do not have the excess state/county/city revenues to handle more debt now.
My 2 cents.
Keith L.
www.REList.net
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